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Here we go again POLL: Trump is a loser in 2020. Any of the 'top' democrats beat him.

 New York Times web site on Nov. 8, 2016

Several days ago, this headline ran, much to the delight of CNN and MSNBC anchors, “Fox News poll shows Trump losing to Biden, Warren, Sanders and Harris.” That’s it, then, the race is over. The message to Trump supporters is to give up in despair and leave those MAGA hats in the closet.

1. Fox News didn’t conduct the poll, however, but instead outsourced it to Braun Research Inc as noted in the poll’s methodology.

2. Opinion polls are only as good as their samples. The Fox News poll surveyed registered voters, unlike Rasmussen, which surveys likely voters. Why is that important? CNN reported that only 55 percent of eligible voters actually voted in 2016. An opinion poll that queries the half of the population that doesn’t even bother to vote will be far less accurate than one surveying those most likely to vote.

3. The Fox News poll oversampled Democrats by 8 points, 48 percent of those surveyed identified as Democrats while only 40 percent as Republican. I’m sure the pollsters have a rationale for skewing the sample to the left, perhaps scientific, or else perhaps, to get a result they want.

What do other polls say? Do they support the Fox News poll or cast doubt on its validity?

Rasmussen’s Daily Presidential Tracking poll, on August 16, showed President Trump 3 percentage points higher than President Obama at the exact same point in his presidency, 46 versus 43 percent total approval. Obama was easily reelected to a second term.

Gallup shows Trump with a 41 percent approval rating, exactly the same as Obama in the third year of his presidency. Interestingly, Ronald Reagan was only at 43 percent approval in the third year of his presidency and won a 49-state landslide reelection. In contrast, George H.W. Bush sat at 71 percent approval in his third year and lost reelection.

  • Despite the media’s pivot from Russian collusion to white supremacy and racism as the latest attack leveled against the President, “50 percent of Latinos support the job Trump is doing” according to a recent Marist poll.
  • Black support, according to Rasmussen, is hovering around 30 percent. In 2016, Trump only received 8 percent of the black vote. If he doubled or tripled his support within this core Democrat constituency, traditional electoral predictions all fly out the window.

This is the landscape before the 2020 presidential campaign has even started. Wait until Trump focuses on the eventual Democrat nominee.

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READ - Have Pollsters Learned Nothing since the Last Election?

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AMERICA FIRST: "It’s a new dawn for American energy and manufacturing"

“We’re restoring the glory of American manufacturing, we are reclaiming our noble heritage as a nation of builders again.”

President Trump in Monaca, PA, at Shell's new plastics complex

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From day one, President Trump challenged the Beltway’s prevailing wisdom and unleashed a policy agenda that’s made life easier for America’s small businesses. Employer and worker tax cuts, deregulation, and new trade deals have helped create more than 6.2 million jobs and driven the unemployment rate to a near 50-year low

It wasn’t long ago that Washington had all but given up on our country’s blue-collar workers—especially those in the supposedly outdated manufacturing and energy sectors. The message that the “experts” tried to sell was that these industries were in decline, and with the rise of globalization, nothing could be done to change that.

Former President Obama even famously mocked then-candidate Donald J. Trump’s pledge to bring these jobs back. “What magic wand do you have?” President Obama asked. It turns out no magic wand was necessary—just a President who was willing to fight for forgotten workers across our country with policies that put U.S. industry first.

🎬 Watch: President Trump tours new Pennsylvania manufacturing plant
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ENERGY REVOLUTION

U.S. Natural Gas Will Soon Run the World

"Fossil fuel — particularly, natural gas — will be at the forefront when it relates to soft power, national security, and robust economic growth for mature and emerging markets.  The U.S. now uses natural gas converted to liquid natural gas (LNG) from shale deposits in states such as Texas, North Dakota, and Pennsylvania to transform geopolitics.


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READY TO GO: Volusia County REC is well represented at the RPOF Quarterly

Chairman Joe Gruters opening remarks Saturday session at RPOF Quarterly

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Vic BakerJoe GrutersMaryann PistilliDebbie PhillipsBarbara DeeringSandi Hodgden and Paul Deering in Sandestin, Florida.

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Do you like this table?  

Trump Table created by DME & Chase Tramont

Hillsborough Co. SCW Clarice Henderson & RPOF Vice Chairman Christian Ziegler at the Trump Table. Available for $99. Contact SCM Vic Baker. #LeadRight

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"Her hatred for Israel is greater than her love for her grandmother.”

UPDATE: Tlaib to Attend Event With Virulently Anti-Israel, Pro-BDS Group Instead of Visiting Israel

Via Free Beacon:

Rep. Rashida Tlaib (D., Mich.) will attend an event with a group that supports the Boycott, Divestment, and Sanctions (BDS) movement against Israel one day after being denied entry into Israel in part due to her support of BDS.

Did Rashida Tlaib really want to go see grandma?

1. Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu said it was plain that Omar and Tlaib intended to use the visit to harm Israel.  “Several days ago, we received [Omar and Tlaib’s] trip itinerary, which clarified that they planned a visit whose sole purpose was to support boycotts and deny Israel’s legitimacy. For example, they called their destination ‘Palestine’ and not ‘Israel’ 

2. Tlaib then submitted a letter requesting to be allowed to visit despite the ban, citing her elderly grandmother, and promised not to promote boycotting Israel during her visit.

3. Israel granted the request, asking Tiaib to sign a letter promising not to promote boycotting Israel during her visit.

4. Tlaib then tweeted that allowing her to visit only under certain terms was humiliating. She stated that she would not “bow down to their oppressive & racist policies. Silencing me & treating me like a criminal is not what [my grandmother] wants for me. It would kill a piece of me. I have decided that visiting my grandmother under these oppressive conditions stands against everything I believe in — fighting against racism, oppression & injustice.”

5. In response to Tlaib’s announcement that she would not be coming after all, Interior Minister Aryeh Deri tweeted: “Apparently [her request] was a provocation to make Israel look bad. Her hatred for Israel is greater than her love for her grandmother.”

Rashida Tlaib Begs To Enter Israel, Then Rejects Invitation

 16, 2019 By 

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WE THE PEOPLE are donating 6 of every 10 dollars being raised by the Trump Campaign.

“Our movement is built on love, we love our families, we love our faith, we love our flag, and we love our freedom, that’s what it’s about. We love our neighbors and we love our country.”

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Sixty-one percent of money raised directly by the Trump campaign this election cycle came from small donors (donations under $200), according to Federal Election Commission figures. That is similar to the proportion Trump raised during the 2016 election cycle, when 65 percent of donations were under $200. 

And this is dramatically higher than previous Republican nominees. Mitt Romney raised 26 percent of his direct contributions from small donations in 2012, and John McCain raised 25 percent from small donations in 2008.
 

He's in a brutal fight for U.S. 

"I love our country. I am the president of the United States of America. I am not the president of the world."
President Donald Trump at rally in Manchester, NH


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Our money is on him to win.

It's a good bet.

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President Trump supports the nationalistic position, purposes and intents of Brexit.

President Donald Trump and British Prime Minister Boris Johnson are walking their respective trade teams through a process to deliver a U.S-U.K trade deal on the day after a no-deal Brexit is scheduled to happen October 31st.  An interim trade agreement that goes into effect November 1st 2019 is pure Trump win/win deal-making.

PM Johnson has promised to deliver Brexit by the mandatory date of October 31st.  One of the benefits, and also concerns amid the political left in the U.K, surrounds the economic impacts.  President Trump and PM Johnson would counter all those concerns with the announcement of an agreement for an interim bilateral trade deal ahead of Brexit.

This strategic approach, a deal that delivers both the Brexit result and the economic stability to offset any Brexit downside concerns, was the original idea that President Trump proposed to Theresa May two years ago.

by sundance  Read Conservative Tree House  

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2019 LINCOLN DAY DINNER -- Tickets Now On Sale

This is our biggest and most important fundraiser of the year, when patriots join together to ...

Click on image to reserve your table / seats

NOV. 3, 2019

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TRUMP VICTORY TEAM is registering new Republican voters.

Training by RPOF Regional Field Director Maryann Pistilli. #LeadRight

  

Training in Deltona with Volusia TARS  ....  at Ormond Beach Public Library -----> getting it done at the Ocean Center

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JOIN THE CAMPAIGN

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Candidate Trump ran against the American state media and won. It's why they hate him .. and US.

President Trump continues to beat a media determined to bring him down

.U.S. President Donald Trump speaks to the media aboard Air Force One
while flying between El Paso, Texas and Joint Base Andrews in Maryland,

Conrad Black

Conrad Black

The Globe and Mail’s commentators on political events in Washington have, like the rest of the Canadian media, completely missed the story. So have most of the American media, which the Canadian media witlessly parrot. 

Trump ran against the American media and won. He demonstrated that they were complicit in all the economic and strategic blunders of the George W. Bush and Obama years: the Great Recession, the endless Mideast wars and humanitarian disasters, 20 million illegal and unskilled immigrants and a flat-lined “new normal” economy. GDP growth per capita declined from 4.5 per cent in the Reagan years to one per cent under Obama.

This president ran against every part of the political establishment of both parties including especially the national media, whom he has rendered almost irrelevant by using social media and dominating the talk-radio circuit. The traditional media, whose Trump-hating excrescences are inflicted on Canadian readers and viewers have, to their towering chagrin, almost no influence in the U.S. Trump has outmanoeuvred them. Most of the American national media is now an embittered, rabid, unclothed emperor, but their Canadian analogues spout their bilious nonsense anyway.

Illustrative of the Globe and Mail’s purblind leadership of our thoroughly misinformed country was Sarah Kendzior’s piece late last month, where she wrote of President Trump’s son and son-in-law as “apparently complicit in foreign interference in a U.S. election,” referred to Lt.-Gen. Michael Flynn simply as a “criminal,” and accused the U.S. attorney general, William Barr, of “misleading” the public with “a deceitful summary” of the findings of the Mueller report about Russian interference in the 2016 election.

She blamed Mueller and his team for not exploring “Trump’s possible involvement with organized crime … and shady finances … He did not want to indict anyone, even when their offences were blatant.” She grimly concluded that all this “could mean that Americans lose their own free will in the years to come.” All of this is just nonsense; an exhaustive investigation found no proof that anyone in Trump’s inner circle colluded with the Russians or any foreigners. Flynn was mouse-trapped without counsel. There was no obstruction. Trump handed over all documents requested, allowed all staff and collaborators to give sworn evidence, never invoked executive privilege and never interfered in any way with the investigation, as Mueller affirmed, under oath at the House judiciary committee.

All of this is just nonsense; an exhaustive investigation found no proof that anyone in Trump's inner circle colluded with the Russians or any foreigners

The outrages that did occur were that senior elements of the CIA and FBI co-operated with the Clinton campaign before the election and after, to publicize the spurious Steele dossier, a pastiche of lies and defamations ultimately funded by Hillary Clinton’s camp. The Justice department’s highest officials then used the same dossier as part of the basis for applications to the Foreign Intelligence Surveillance court (FISA), to authorize espionage against the Trump campaign and transition team.

The justice and intelligence apparatus of the U.S. was unconstitutionally politicized, the closest the United States has ever come to a presidential election rigged or undone by unlawful official interference. When all else failed, the canard of Russian collusion was dredged up, and although as FBI agent Peter Strzok acknowledged to his FBI girlfriend by text (he said he felt “concern there’s no there there”), this farce was kept going for two years in the hope that Trump would blow up and fire Mueller, as Nixon did Archibald Cox in 1973, so some sort of obstruction charge could be cobbled together to force an impeachment trial.

FBI agent Peter Strzok, was fired. 

It was a formidable bit of skulduggery. There has never been the slightest credible suggestion of any connection between Trump and organized crime, and the Internal Revenue Service has audited him constantly for decades and has never gone beyond contested reassessments. The only shade occurs where he has exercised his absolute constitutional right not to release his tax returns to the public. He also happens to be the only president in history who has made billions of dollars.

Lawrence Martin, in the Globe and Mail this weekstays clear of the Russian collusion nonsense, presumably recognizing that it was a fraud, and focuses on the vagaries of Trump’s personality. There is room for pause on some of Trump’s stylistic eccentricities. But he did not call all Baltimore “disgusting (and) rodent-infested,” only the district of Congressman Elijah Cummings after Cummings shouted outrageously at the acting Homeland Security secretary in a congressional hearing.

He did say four congresswomen should go back where they came from after they (Ms.’s Ocasio-Cortez, Pressley, Omar and Tlaib) had variously described life in the U.S. as “garbage,” trivialized the 9/11 atrocities, spewed out anti-Semitic screeds, compared southern border detention centres to Nazi death camps, and other such exalted apercus. The fact that two of them were Muslim, one Puerto Rican and one African-American (as is Elijah Cummings), had nothing to do with it. Trump would have said something similar if all of them and all of the 20 million unskilled people who have entered the country illegally were Caucasian Presbyterians.

The post-Reagan bipartisan consensus of soft-left passivity and decline, as the Bushes and Clintons passed the great offices back and forth, is over. (For 32 years, 1981-2013, a Bush or Clinton was president, vice-president, or secretary of state.)

The United States is now in a political contest between the Democratic atomizers who inflame and pander to every conceivable group of aggrieved people, and the Trump movement that rallies everyone to the flag through full employment, reducing the taxes of 83 per cent of taxpayers, ending illegal immigration, being cautious over unproved claims about climate change while protecting the environment, reviving the promotion of nuclear non-proliferation, where predecessors and allies had surrendered to Iran and North Korea, and in finally standing up to China, where even the Democrats and all China’s neighbours except Russia and North Korea support Trump. 

Read it all @

National Post

 

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