Evidence over hysteria — COVID-19

The following article is a systematic overview of COVID-19 driven by data from medical professionals and academic articles that will help you understand what is going on (sources include CDC, WHO, NIH, NHS, University of Oxford, Stanford, Harvard, NEJM, JAMA, and several others).

Data is data. Our focus here isn’t treatments but numbers. You don’t need a special degree to understand what the data says and doesn’t say. Numbers are universal.

I hope you walk away with a more informed perspective on how you can help and fight back against the hysteria that is driving our country into a dark place. You can help us focus our scarce resources on those who are most vulnerable, who need our help.

Note: The following graphs and numbers are as of mid-March 2020. Things are moving quickly, so I update this article twice a day. Most graphs are as of March 20th, 2020.

Best,

Aaron Ginn

Table of Contents

1. Total cases are the wrong metric
2. Time lapsing new cases gives us perspective
3. On a per-capita basis, we shouldn’t be panicking
4. COVID-19 is spreading
5. Watch the Bell Curve
6. A low probability of catching COVID-19
7. Common transmission modes
8. COVID-19 is likely to burn off in the summer
9. Children and Teens aren’t at risk
10. Strong, but unknown viral effect
11. What about asymptomatic spread?
12. 93% of people who think they are positive aren’t
13. 1% of cases will be severe
14. Declining fatality rate
15. So what should we do?
16. Start with basic hygiene
17. More data
18. Open schools
19. Open up public spaces
20. Support business and productivity
21. People fear what the government will do, not infection
22. Expand medical capacity
23. Don’t let them forget it and vote

Calls are increasing for cable networks to stop airing President Donald Trump’s press conferences live as critics believe Trump is turning White House news briefings into virtual campaign rallies that can “get people killed” with lies about the Coronavirus crisis.

Of course Fake News is hating these WH pressers .. Trump'a approval numbers are up.

LIVE TV everyday revealing our president fully in command of a crisis is not what they had in mind when this all began. China coronavirus was suppose to kill his base of support. Instead, Democrat governors from NY, CA applaud Trump's help and even Ilhan Abdullahi Omar of MN says Trump is doing a fine job.

 Read it all - 

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All hate-media has left is to call him a raaacist ..

.. for saying that the virus from China is the China virus.

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As FDR said in his December 9, 1941, fireside chat with the nation, what we now know as “the media” had a special responsibility:

"To all newspapers and radio stations—all those who reach the eyes and ears of the American people—I say this: You have a most grave responsibility to the Nation now and for the duration of this war."

And that responsibility, of course, was not to publish rumors, enemy propaganda, or defeatism.  As Roosevelt put it:

"Most earnestly I urge my countrymen to reject all rumors.  These ugly little hints of complete disaster fly thick and fast in wartime.  They have to be examined and appraised."

So now today, we must all be equally vigilant against rumor-mongering and panic-encouraging. 

One vigilant watcher is Ari Fleischer, White House press secretary to George W. Bush.  On March 13, Fleischer tweeted caustic criticism of CNN, quoting what the cable channel was saying, and then adding his own slam on the network: 

“There will be a pandemic.  And it will have the potential to bring humanity to its knees.”   So began a promo I just saw for a show that will air on CNN.  This type of promo is the kind irresponsible fear-mongering that should be avoided.  CNN should change its advertising.

Fleischer is right: CNN ought to be ashamed of itself.  And if it isn’t, then Americans should heap shame on the network, as a warning signal to other media outlets that might be tempted to jeopardize public order for the sake of ratings and clicks. 

Read - 

MORE:

Chanel Rion, who is half Korean, is the White House Correspondent for One America Network (aka OAN). On Thursday, during President Trump’s now daily press briefing, she asked him why it was appropriate to use the phrase “Chinese Virus” when referring to the coronavirus.

Then, Rion got to the heart of the matter:

On that note, major left-wing news media — even in this room — have teamed up with Chinese Communist Party narratives and they’re claiming you’re racist for making these claims about ‘Chinese virus.’ Is it alarming that major media players, just to oppose you, are consistently siding with foreign state propaganda, Islamic radicals and Latin gangs and cartels? And they work right here at the White House with direct access to you and your team?

Given an opening, Trump took it:

"It amazes me when I read the things that I read. It amazes me when I read the Wall Street Journal, which is always so negative. It amazes me when I read the New York Times . . . it’s not even, I don’t, barely read it. You know, we don’t distribute it in the White House anymore and the same thing with the Washington Post. Because, you see, I know the truth. And people out there in the world, they really don’t know the truth, they don’t know what it is. They use different slogans and different concepts for me almost every week, trying to catch something. Last week it was all “chaos.” You see me. There’s no chaos. I have no chaos. I’m the one telling everybody to be calm. There’s no chaos in the White House. We have unbelievable professionals. It’s really – I mean, I think I came up with the term. I hope I came up with the term. But it is Fake News.

It’s more than Fake News. It’s corrupt news. They write stories without calling anybody. They write a story today, they had a couple of stories, where they never call me. Ever. That I know of. At least, nobody tells me. They’ll write a story without even asking my opinion on something. It’s totally fake."

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Click to watch the 'No Panic' show

SEE: https://www.visualcapitalist.com/history-of-pandemics-deadliest/

Now that this frightening outbreak has captured our collective consciousness, the president should seize the opportunity to take his tough posture vis-à-vis the Chinese to a whole new level – and announce that for the sake of our economic wellbeing, national security, public health and consumer safety, America is indeed going to recast our relationship.

However serious it may turn out to be, this flareup has given all of us, including Wall Street, a serious and painful wake-up call: that coronavirus and the resulting panics are what happens when a nation – seemingly inextricably – links its economy and entire way of life to a country whose system is completely inimical.

But also an opportunity to prove the coupling is extricable after all – by pressing, Hillary Clinton-style, the famous “reset” button, this time with China. Perhaps spelled right (however it’s rendered in Mandarin). And policy-wise, in an opposite, decidedly less accommodative direction.

That we will progressively wean ourselves off the Middle Kingdom’s brutal, criminal dictatorship; its crooked, immoral, hazardous and larcenous business activities; its unhygienic practices; and its antagonistic rhetoric and actions.

That, until and unless China cleans up its act, we will promote and even mandate the shift of business and commerce to safer, saner, more reliable, less hostile and most important, more humane locations – including and especially the good old US of A.

President Trump: The Anti-Marionette

"In a perverse way .. we have the Democrats to thank for this respite from the headlong plunge over the cliff of government power and corruption"

For the Deep State^TM and the political class of America, one of the most frustrating things about President Trump is his conspicuous lack of private or secret funding. They cannot fathom a politician without strings attached, without a handler, someone who is not beholden to anyone. Because those are things that they use to control and manipulate each other.

That's why they had to invent Russian collusion. That's why they had to go after his children with fake charges. That's why they had to make the laughable accusation that he was somehow connected to and beholden to Jeffrey Epstein. And on and on and on.

They cannot imagine a politician who is not part of their sleazy, backroom world in which quid pro quo is a fact of life, where money stolen from the American people is funneled from person to person in payment of political debt.

Did they realize early on that he was uncontrollable by conventional means? Probably. But they have been operating with the same playbook for so long they simply had no idea how to deal with a truly independent man.

Would he have been the disruptive force we are blessed with had the Democrats been smarter? Would he have remade our courts and gutted the regulatory state and protected (at least more than other presidents) our fighting men? I don't know, and it is academic at this point. But my guess is that yes, he would have, but without the urgency and speed. In a perverse way .. we have the Democrats to thank for this respite from the headlong plunge over the cliff of government power and corruption.

Am I the only one who is giddy with anticipation for his second term?

It is easy in the world to live after the world's opinion; it is easy in solitude to live after our own; but the great man is he who in the midst of the crowd keeps with perfect sweetness the independence of solitude -- Ralph Waldo Emerson

Project Fear Will Fail

Have they scared you yet?  Me neither.

Project Fear is ramping up, and it’s only going to get worse.  The Democrats and the global establishment class do not care how many lives are lost or how much financial damage results.  They have only one concern: removing President Trump from power, silencing us, and bending the arc of history back toward the plutocratic governing elite.  

That is why the election year of 2016 will always mark a turning point in American history.  2016 was significant not just because President Trump won, but because so many of us looked around and realized just how many of us there actually are.  For years we had been minimized and mocked and made to feel very much alone. 

Their attacks on the legitimacy of the 2016 election and attempts to overturn it have created an unrelenting siege against all of us who would have gladly gone back to our own lives until the 2020 election.  Because they have given us no peace, however, they have made us sharp for what lies ahead.

A growing number of Americans finally see who the Democrats are and what they are capable of inflicting upon their fellow citizens.  There is a fire before us; we must walk through it; but we no longer have to do so alone.

Volunteer

Please Contact: Field Organizers RPOF/Trump Victory 

 

President Trump announces a National Day of Prayer

Sunday March 15

Donald J. Trump ✔@realDonaldTrump

It is my great honor to declare Sunday, March 15th as a National Day of Prayer. We are a Country that, throughout our history, has looked to God for protection and strength in times like these....

....No matter where you may be, I encourage you to turn towards prayer in an act of faith. Together, we will easily PREVAIL!

6:54 PM - Mar 13, 2020

Democrats and their media talking heads are busy blaming Trump for the virus in every way they possibly can.  

As they were busy impeaching the man, he was assembling a task force, banning incoming flights from China, and preparing for what has developed.

So desperate to take this man down, the left  has thrown any sense of decorum and civility to the wind.  The barely sentient Joe Biden is actually using the virus to solicit donations to his pathetic campaign.  

Pelosi and her crowd are trying to get every wild spending program they can into the bill that should only be dealing with the ramifications of the virus.

The Democratic Party and their handmaidens in the media are gleefully sacrificing the safety of American citizens, purposefully tanking the stock market by encouraging panic in order to defeat Trump in November.

Feel that cold anger inside?
Make it your fuel for the campaign ahead 

Join Trump Victory Team 2020

Volunteer

Please Contact: Field Organizers RPOF/Trump Victory 

Sandi Hodgden  715-141-1957 - [email protected]

Kathy Pugh         386-956-8427 - [email protected]

Pamalla Weathersby 863-430-9524 - [email protected]

The President has taken unprecedented steps to protect the health of Americans, bringing together government and private industry in a collaborative response.

Prescient Trump

From the outset of Donald Trump’s initial entry into the world of politics he espoused a series of key tenets around what he called his “America-First” objectives:

1. A shift toward stopping ‘illegal’ migration. The U.S. needed to have control over our borders, and a greater ability to control who was migrating to the United State
2. A return to economic independence. The U.S. needed to stop the manufacture of goods overseas and return critical manufacturing back to the United States.
3. China viewed as a geopolitical and economic risk. The U.S. needed to decouple from an over-reliance on Chinese industrial and consumer products.

Now, with the global pandemic known as Coronavirus, people are starting to awaken to the real dangers of our medicines, pharmaceuticals and critical health care products being made overseas.  Right now we see the clear reasons why President Trump was so adamant about a conversation no-one wanted, and few were paying attention to.

Today, given the status of very consequential issues stemming from the Chinese Coronavirus threat; and the myriad of very serious issues with critical supply chain dependencies; wasn’t President Trump entirely correct in his warnings and proposals?

The criticism is not only unreal to witness, it’s maddening in the scale of its hypocrisy.

On January 30th while Nancy Pelosi, Adam Schiff, Jerry Nadler and Chuck Schumer were literally trying to impeach President Trump; on that very day President Trump was assembling a task force in advance of his authorization for HHS Secretary Alex Azar to declare a proactive national health emergency.

On the exact same day the Senate was debating whether to call more witnesses for the Senate impeachment trial, the newly assembled Coronavirus Task Force was holding a press conference - (link)

Guess which event the media covered?

So perhaps it’s not a surprise that most Americans did not know about the proactive steps that President Trump was taking.  After all, the entirety of the media focus was on a ridiculous Senate impeachment trial while the White House Coronavirus mitigation effort was happening.

However, it sure is blood-boiling to watch the media now. To see the media cheer-leading for a national health crisis - literally with smiling faces as they hope for an economic collapse - for the exact same gleeful reason they cheered the impeachment effort.   The level of U.S. media vitriol against President Trump is sickening.

by sundance

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Moscow (CNSNews.com) – Russia’s State Duma passed an amendment Tuesday to “reset” presidential term limits after the adoption of a new constitution later this year, paving the way for President Vladimir Putin to potentially stay in office until 2036. Click HERE

 - Saudi Arabia Throws Down Gauntlet to Russia; Raises Crude Oil Supply to Record High. Click HERE

On Tuesday, Saudi Arabia ratcheted up its oil war with Russia, announcing it would raise its crude supply to a record high in April.

Market Plunges Over Oil, Not the Coronavirus

(Excerpt)

RUSH: The Drive-By Media wants you to think that this massive stock market plunge is because of the coronavirus. Some of it is, but the vast majority of this has nothing to do with the coronavirus, absolutely nothing to do with the coronavirus. I am here to tell you what the massive market plunge is all about.

What is happening with the stock market today is 85% this - It is the crown prince of Saudi Arabia declaring open warfare on Russia involving the price of oil and the flow of oil, the free flow of oil at market prices is what this is all about. And the crown prince of Saudi Arabia, he's taking advantage of the fact that they've got more oil than they know what to do with.

There's no love lost between Saudi Arabia and Russia, and that's because of Middle Eastern geopolitics and warfare. By the way, Donald Trump is standing aside and letting Crown Prince Mohammed bin Salman wreak all kinds of havoc on his buddies in Russia. 

Now, Russia's economy is such that they don't produce oil for the same reasons we do. They are a totalitarian regime, and their interest in oil is selling it so that the government will have wealth, so that Putin and his buddies will have wealth, so that his oligarch buddies who are in commodities and chemicals and who need oil will have wealth. It's not for the Russian people.

Mohammed bin Salman is flooding the world oil markets with cheap Saudi crude, and his number one target is Russia, and shale oil -- which, to an extent, is the United States. I'm sure that his effort here is not intended to do great damage to us, and I'm sure he's been telling everybody in Washington, "Stick with me on this. Our common enemy is Russia." 

He cannot do damage to us in this regard because we don't need their oil anymore, and that's thanks to who? That's thanks to American capitalism and fracking and people who stuck with that despite all of the environmentalist wackos trying to shut 'em down. Despite all of the left-wing Democrats trying to shut down pipelines and fracking, we are no longer dependent on Saudi Arabia

Anyway, this is very, very complicated global geopolitics.